War Shock Roils Energy Markets, European Gas Prices Jump 42%

 LNG suspension by QatarEnergy and rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz send oil and gas prices soaring amid Middle East conflict

Global energy markets have been thrown into turmoil as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East disrupts key supply routes and infrastructure, triggering sharp increases in oil and gas prices. Natural gas prices in Europe surged by 42 percent in a single leap, according to reports by Associated Press.

The spike began Monday after QatarEnergy announced a suspension of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) production. On the ICE commodities exchange, April gas futures rose to €45.46. Following the loss of Russian pipeline gas due to the Ukraine war, Europe has become heavily dependent on LNG imports from Qatar and other suppliers, making the disruption particularly alarming.

Oil Prices Climb Sharply
Concerns over instability in the Strait of Hormuz — a critical artery for global oil shipments — also drove crude prices higher. U.S. crude rose 8.40 percent to $72.63 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international benchmark, climbed 8.5 percent to $79.13.

Analysts warn that higher oil prices will not only strain consumers but also intensify inflationary pressures worldwide. In the United States, the price surge is seen as politically sensitive ahead of upcoming midterm elections, with former President Donald Trump expected to prioritize stabilizing fuel costs to maintain public support.

Disruptions in Hormuz and Drone Attacks
Roughly 20 percent of the world’s oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Ship-tracking firm Kpler reported a dramatic decline in vessel traffic due to satellite navigation disruptions and security risks linked to the conflict.

On Monday, a drone boat attack in the Gulf of Oman killed a crew member aboard a Marshall Islands-flagged oil tanker. Meanwhile, Iranian state television reported that a drone strike targeted one of the world’s largest oil refineries in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, prompting its temporary shutdown as a precaution.

Fears of Prolonged Crisis
Energy analyst Holger Schmieding said the key question for the global economy is whether the Strait of Hormuz will remain partially or fully closed for weeks. A prolonged disruption could significantly slow global growth and push inflation even higher.

Risk consultancy Verisk Maplecroft analyst Torbjorn Soltvedt suggested that Iran may be seeking to exert economic pressure on Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to compel them to push the United States and Israel toward de-escalation.

Market observers caution that if direct attacks on Middle Eastern energy infrastructure continue, oil prices could surpass $90 per barrel in the coming weeks, deepening economic uncertainty worldwide.

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