Category: Economy

  • Qatar Halves LNG Supply to Bangladesh Amid Hormuz Disruptions

    Qatar Halves LNG Supply to Bangladesh Amid Hormuz Disruptions

    DHAKA, July 7 — Qatar has cut its scheduled liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies to Bangladesh by half this year after the conflict involving Iran disrupted energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Bangladesh’s state-owned energy agency.

    Petrobangla Acting Chairman Abdul Mannan confirmed the development to Reuters on Monday, saying the supply disruption was directly linked to the ongoing war and its impact on regional energy transportation.

    “The root cause of these problems is the war,” Mannan said. “We are looking for alternative sources to address the shortfall. Bangladesh may increase LNG purchases from the spot market, while agreements with governments of other supplier countries are also under consideration. We will choose the most commercially viable option while ensuring the country’s energy security.”

    Qatar is the world’s second-largest LNG producer after the United States and Bangladesh’s largest LNG supplier. Bangladesh imported nearly 7 million metric tons of LNG last year, about 4 million tons of which came from Qatar.

    Petrobangla currently has two long-term supply agreements with QatarEnergy, covering annual deliveries of 2.5 million metric tons and 1.8 million metric tons, respectively.

    Mannan said QatarEnergy has assured Bangladesh that it will continue supplying LNG to the extent possible despite the reduction in scheduled deliveries.

    QatarEnergy did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    According to energy analytics firm Kpler, Bangladesh received 19 LNG cargoes from Qatar under long-term contracts before the conflict began on Feb. 28.

    However, no LNG cargoes have arrived from Qatar’s Ras Laffan export terminal since the outbreak of the war, forcing Bangladesh to rely on the spot market. Since March, the country has imported 35 spot-market LNG cargoes to meet domestic demand.

    Around 20% of the world’s LNG supply normally passes through the Strait of Hormuz, making the waterway one of the most strategically important energy transit routes. Any disruption there has significant implications for global energy markets and import-dependent countries such as Bangladesh.

  • Bangladesh Cuts Jet Fuel Prices for July, Offering Relief to Airlines

    Bangladesh Cuts Jet Fuel Prices for July, Offering Relief to Airlines

    DHAKA, July 7— Bangladesh has reduced jet fuel prices for both domestic and international flights for July, providing cost relief to airlines following several months of steep price increases.

    The Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission (BERC) announced on Tuesday that the price of jet fuel for domestic flights has been lowered to Tk130.99 per litre, down from Tk150.21 per litre in June. The latest revision represents a reduction of Tk19.22 per litre, or nearly 13 percent.

    For international flights, the regulator reduced the jet fuel price from $0.9808 per litre to $0.8556 per litre, according to an official notification issued by BERC.

    The latest adjustment continues a downward pricing trend that began in May after authorities sharply increased aviation fuel prices earlier this year.

    On March 24, Bangladesh raised jet fuel prices by around 80 percent for domestic flights and nearly 79 percent for international operations. Prices were increased again on April 7.

    Since then, BERC has gradually rolled back the increases. Domestic jet fuel prices were reduced from Tk227.08 to Tk205.45 per litre for May, followed by a further cut to Tk150.21 per litre in June. The July revision brings prices down to their lowest level in recent months.

    The price reductions are expected to ease operating costs for airlines, although the extent to which the savings will be reflected in passenger airfares remains unclear.

  • Bangladesh Factory Closures Signal Export Crisis

    Bangladesh Factory Closures Signal Export Crisis

    DHAKA, Bangladesh — Bangladesh’s export-driven economy is facing one of its most difficult periods in recent years as garment and textile factories across the country’s industrial belt suspend production, scale back operations or shut down altogether, raising fresh concerns over employment, investment and the future of the nation’s largest export industry.

    The wave of closures has been most visible in Gazipur, one of Bangladesh’s leading industrial hubs, but similar warning signs are emerging in Chattogram, Narayanganj, Savar, Ashulia and other manufacturing centers. Industry leaders say the closures are no longer isolated business failures but reflect deeper structural challenges, including weakening export demand, rising production costs, energy shortages, high borrowing costs and shrinking profit margins. They also argue that the crisis has been compounded by the political targeting of business leaders, fears of arrest, mob attacks, extortion and a deteriorating security environment following the fall of the Awami League government.

    For more than three decades, the ready-made garment (RMG) industry has been the backbone of Bangladesh’s economic growth. The sector generates more than 80 percent of the country’s merchandise export earnings and directly employs around four million workers while supporting millions more through transportation, logistics, banking, packaging and thousands of small businesses.

    Today, however, that success story is under growing strain.

    Gazipur Reflects a National Challenge

    The recent closures in Gazipur illustrate the pressures confronting manufacturers across Bangladesh.

    According to officials and industry sources, at least 13 garment factories in the district suspended operations or shut down within a single week, leaving thousands of workers uncertain about their livelihoods. Although each company cited different immediate reasons, most pointed to the same underlying problems—declining export orders, rising production costs, persistent gas shortages, expensive bank financing and mounting financial losses.

    One of the latest closures involved Islam Garments Limited (Unit-2) in Gazipur’s Jarun area. The factory suspended operations indefinitely from July 1 after unrest followed the death of worker Rubina Begum, who reportedly became ill before being taken to a hospital, where she later died. Management said concerns over possible vandalism prompted the company to invoke Section 13(1) of the Bangladesh Labour Act, 2006, affecting approximately 2,500 workers. Officials familiar with the matter said the factory had already been operating under severe financial pressure before the incident.

    Only days earlier, five factories belonging to Lithi Group halted operations simultaneously in Gazipur’s Bagher Bazar industrial area. Company notices cited prolonged gas shortages, declining export orders, uncertainty over future contracts, labor unrest, falling product prices and limited access to bank financing. The affected factories included Apparel-21 Limited, Fomcom Fashion Limited, Fomcom Dyeing Limited, Fomcom Printing Limited and Fomcom Knitting Limited.

    Another major setback came with the permanent closure of Unique Designers Limited and Unique Washing Limited, leaving nearly 1,800 workers unemployed. Although labor authorities later reached agreements with factory owners regarding unpaid wages, service benefits and other dues, those settlements could not restore the jobs that had already disappeared.

    Gazipur Industrial Police Superintendent Mohammad Amzad Hossain said financial difficulties ultimately forced management to shut the factories permanently.

    “Because of financial constraints and other operational challenges, the authorities were compelled to declare the factory permanently closed. Both parties have agreed on 11 decisions regarding workers’ service benefits, unpaid wages and other dues,” he said after a tripartite meeting involving factory management, labor representatives and government agencies.

    In Kaliakair’s Chandra industrial zone, four Apex Group factories suspended operations indefinitely following disputes over employee service benefits. Authorities also reported closures involving Fashion Linkers Limited and Cortex Apparels Limited, highlighting that the difficulties are spreading across Bangladesh’s industrial belt rather than remaining confined to one district.

    Beyond the Factory Gates

    The consequences extend well beyond factory owners.

    For thousands of garment workers, factory employment is the primary source of household income. When production stops, families immediately face uncertainty over rent, food, healthcare and children’s education. The impact quickly spreads to transport operators, restaurants, grocery stores, landlords and countless small businesses that depend on industrial activity.

    Economists warn that repeated factory closures can reduce household spending, discourage private investment and weaken local economies, creating ripple effects far beyond the garment sector.

    The developments in Gazipur therefore raise a broader question: are these temporary setbacks caused by difficult market conditions, or the early signs of a deeper structural crisis confronting Bangladesh’s export-led economy?

    Exports Slow, Costs Rise and Confidence Weakens

    The factory closures come as Bangladesh’s export sector records one of its weakest performances in recent years, reinforcing concerns that the country’s manufacturing slowdown is rooted in structural problems rather than temporary market fluctuations.

    According to provisional figures from the Export Promotion Bureau (EPB), Bangladesh exported merchandise worth about US$48 billion in fiscal year 2025–26, down 0.58 percent from the previous year. More importantly, the ready-made garment (RMG) sector—the country’s largest export earner—registered a 1.64 percent decline, increasing pressure on foreign exchange earnings, employment and industrial production.

    Why Manufacturers Are Struggling

    Factory owners say the industry is facing an unprecedented convergence of challenges.

    Production costs have risen across almost every major category. Wages have increased, yarn prices have climbed by around 10 percent, and the cost of dyes and chemicals has risen by 15 to 50 percent. Electricity, gas, transportation and financing costs have also increased, while exchange-rate pressures have made imported raw materials more expensive.

    Yet international buyers have largely refused to pay higher prices for finished garments, leaving manufacturers with shrinking profit margins.

    Many factory owners say they continue accepting export orders primarily to retain skilled workers and preserve long-standing relationships with global buyers, even when those orders generate little or no profit. Others have postponed expansion plans, reduced production or shut down altogether.

    Manufacturers also cite unreliable gas supplies and high borrowing costs as major obstacles. Energy shortages disrupt production schedules, while expensive bank loans have made it increasingly difficult—particularly for small and medium-sized factories—to secure the working capital needed for daily operations.

    Industry leaders add that the business climate has become more challenging following the fall of the Awami League government. Many factories have come under multiple forms of pressure. Several factories have been set on fire, while others, along with business establishments, have been attacked and looted. Numerous business owners have been arrested and detained. Although some have been released on bail, many remain behind bars. A number of industrialists have been imprisoned for nearly two years without their cases being resolved through trial. In addition, thousands of entrepreneurs—both large and small—have fled the country.

    According to business representatives, the political targeting of business leaders, fears of arrest, mob attacks, extortion and a deteriorating security environment have further undermined investor confidence.

    Competition Is Becoming More Intense

    Bangladesh’s domestic challenges are unfolding as competition in the global apparel market grows increasingly fierce.

    Regional competitors—including Vietnam, India, Indonesia and Cambodia—have expanded production of higher-value garments while investing heavily in automation, synthetic fibers, technical textiles and modern logistics.

    Bangladesh, by contrast, continues to depend largely on cotton-based apparel. Although the country remains one of the world’s leading garment exporters, industry analysts say it has diversified into higher-value products more slowly than many of its competitors, leaving manufacturers increasingly exposed to price competition.

    Changing trade policies, evolving sourcing strategies among international retailers and fierce competition in key export markets have added further pressure on the sector.

    A Crisis of Confidence

    Economists say Bangladesh’s greatest challenge is no longer confined to exports alone.

    It is increasingly a crisis of confidence.

    Factory owners remain uncertain about future orders and profitability. Investors are delaying expansion plans, banks have become more cautious in extending credit, and workers fear further job losses.

    The Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) has acknowledged those concerns. During discussions on the national budget, BGMEA President Mahmud Hasan Khan said the industry was under significant pressure because of weakening global demand, rising production costs and mounting financial stress on manufacturers. Those concerns closely reflect the experiences of factory owners across Bangladesh’s industrial belt.

    The Road Ahead

    Despite the mounting challenges, industry leaders believe Bangladesh can regain its competitiveness through comprehensive reforms.

    They argue that priority should be given to ensuring reliable gas and electricity supplies, expanding access to affordable financing, improving logistics and port efficiency, encouraging investment in synthetic fibers, sportswear and technical textiles, and diversifying export markets beyond Europe and North America.

    Former BGMEA director Mohiuddin Rubel told The Voice that Bangladesh possesses significant long-term potential but needs sustained investment in research, innovation, skilled human resources and supportive industrial policies.

    He said the government’s ambition to raise annual exports to US$150 billion could be achieved only through a realistic, time-bound national export strategy backed by consistent implementation.

  • Tamil Nadu to Buy Only Air-Conditioned Buses Under CM Vijay’s New Directive

    Tamil Nadu to Buy Only Air-Conditioned Buses Under CM Vijay’s New Directive

    Tamil Nadu Chief Minister has directed the state government to purchase only air-conditioned (AC) buses from now on, in a move aimed at ensuring more comfortable travel for passengers across the state.

    The announcement was made by Transport Minister while speaking to journalists on the sidelines of an event organized by the ruling TVK party in Salem on Sunday.

    According to the minister, Chief Minister Vijay wants people in Tamil Nadu to have wider access to comfortable and affordable AC bus services. He also instructed authorities to expand the bus network to every remote corner of the state.

    Parthiban said the chief minister emphasized that every bus should be equipped with facilities that ensure a smooth and comfortable journey for all commuters.

    The minister added that Vijay recently traveled on a government bus, after which he expressed his desire that all newly procured buses should have air-conditioning systems.

    Last week, the Tamil Nadu government launched a fleet of 300 new buses across the state. The new fleet, purchased at a cost of Rs 1.2721 billion, includes 164 diesel-powered buses and 136 BS-6 standard CNG-operated buses.

  • Oil Prices Return to Pre-War Levels

    Oil Prices Return to Pre-War Levels

    Global oil prices have fallen back to levels seen before the Iran conflict, as expectations of increased crude supply from the Middle East eased market concerns over demand and shipping disruptions.

    According to Al Jazeera, Brent crude futures for August delivery dropped by $1.06, or 1.44 percent, to $72.68 per barrel on Thursday morning (GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell by 76 cents, or 1.08 percent, to $69.58 per barrel. These mark the lowest levels for both benchmarks since February 27.

    Market analysts say the decline reflects growing confidence in short-term oil availability. September contracts are currently trading at a higher price than August contracts, indicating ample immediate supply.

    The drop follows a sharp fall on Wednesday, when Brent crude lost more than $3 and WTI also declined by nearly $3 amid reduced fears over supply shortages.

    U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have nearly returned to pre-war levels, with around 20 million barrels transported in the past 24 hours. However, he noted that it may take several more weeks to fully normalize the route as mine-clearing operations continue.

    Meanwhile, Iran is preparing to increase oil exports after receiving temporary sanctions relief from the United States. The move, along with rising regional supply, has contributed to the drop in global crude prices.

    Last week, a preliminary agreement aimed at ending the conflict between Iran, the U.S., and Israel helped reopen shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. The deal includes a 60-day negotiation period to address complex issues such as Iran’s nuclear program.

    Iran has also announced plans to impose naval service fees on vessels passing through the strait, a proposal opposed by Washington, which insists the waterway remains an international passage.

    To facilitate safer tanker movement, Oman has opened temporary alternative routes, coordinated jointly with the International Maritime Organization (IMO). However, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has warned vessels against using the routes without permission, raising concerns over further tensions in the strategic waterway.

  • Two Factories Closed in Gazipur, 1,800 Workers Affected

    Two Factories Closed in Gazipur, 1,800 Workers Affected

    Dhaka, June 24:Around 1,800 workers have been left in limbo following the permanent closure of two garment factories in Gazipur — Unique Washing & Dyeing and Unique Designers Ltd — amid financial difficulties and operational challenges.

    The decision to shut down the factories, located in Board Bazar, was confirmed by Mohammad Khalilur Rahman, Additional Superintendent of Police of Gazipur Industrial Police.

    A tripartite meeting involving factory management, workers’ representatives, Industrial Police, the Department of Inspection for Factories and Establishments (DIFE), and the Department of Labour was held on Sunday to settle outstanding wage issues and legal dues.

    According to officials, the factories had remained closed since June 16. During the meeting, both parties reached an agreement regarding the payment of workers’ unpaid wages, service benefits, and other entitlements.

    Under the agreement, workers will receive the remaining 15 days’ wages for April and 18 days’ wages for May. Officers and employees will also be paid all pending salaries. In addition, workers will receive notice pay equivalent to 30 days’ basic salary and service benefits calculated at 20 days’ basic salary for each completed year of service.

    Maternity benefits, accrued leave payments, resignation benefits, and deposits in various funds will also be cleared after verification. Authorities said all dues would be paid in a single installment on July 27.

    The closure has caused distress among workers, many of whom relied on the factories as their sole source of income.

    “My home is in Sherpur. I worked here to support my wife and children. Now we are stranded,” said worker Billal Sohag, expressing concern over his son’s education and his wife’s medical treatment.

    Labour leaders, however, criticised the closure and the compensation package. Shafiul Alam, president of the Gazipur Metropolitan unit of the Bangladesh Garments and Industrial Workers Federation, said the agreement was “not worker-friendly” and alleged that many legal entitlements had not been fully ensured.

    He warned that the sudden closure has left hundreds of experienced workers unemployed, adding further pressure on the country’s already fragile garment sector.

  • Oil Prices Drop Below $80 After Iran-US Accord

    Oil Prices Drop Below $80 After Iran-US Accord

    Global oil prices have fallen sharply following the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MoU) between Iran and the United States, signaling a potential end to months of geopolitical tension that had disrupted energy markets.

    International benchmark Brent crude dropped to nearly $77 per barrel, down from almost $90 on June 12. Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hovered around $74 per barrel, reflecting renewed optimism among traders over the restoration of oil supplies.

    The decline comes after nearly four months of conflict and supply disruptions triggered by military actions involving the United States and Israel in Iran, which had significantly impacted oil shipments through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz.

    Market analysts say oil prices could decline further if diplomatic progress continues and the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens, allowing millions of barrels of stranded crude to flow back into global markets.

    According to energy analytics firm Kpler, nearly 93 million barrels of crude oil remain stranded in the Persian Gulf and could enter the market once shipping routes normalize. The firm also noted that an additional 72 million barrels of Iranian oil could be released if Washington eases sanctions on Tehran.

    The International Energy Agency has warned that a full normalization of Middle Eastern oil exports could lead to an oversupply in the global market by 2027.

    Investor confidence also lifted Asian stock markets, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising over 2 percent and South Korea’s KOSPI gaining more than 1.7 percent, as markets reacted positively to easing energy concerns.

  • Bangladesh Courts Japanese Investment at Tokyo Seminar

    Bangladesh Courts Japanese Investment at Tokyo Seminar

    Bangladesh has renewed its appeal for increased Japanese investment, with Ambassador to Japan Md. Daud Ali highlighting the country’s expanding economic opportunities, investor-friendly policies, and growing industrial infrastructure during a business seminar in Tokyo aimed at strengthening bilateral trade and commercial cooperation.

    The Bangladesh Business Seminar, held at the Bangladesh Embassy in Tokyo, brought together Japanese business leaders, investors, entrepreneurs, government officials, and representatives from various industries. The event was jointly organized by the Bangladesh Embassy and the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) as part of ongoing efforts to attract greater foreign direct investment (FDI) from Japan.

    In his opening remarks, Ambassador Daud Ali emphasized the longstanding friendship between Bangladesh and Japan and called for elevating economic relations to a new level. He noted that Bangladesh has emerged as one of South Asia’s fastest-growing economies and continues to offer significant opportunities for foreign investors through its network of export processing zones, economic zones, and high-tech parks.

    The ambassador highlighted a range of incentives available to foreign investors, including tax holidays, duty exemptions, and provisions allowing the repatriation of capital and profits. He encouraged Japanese companies to expand their presence in Bangladesh, arguing that the combination of Japanese technology and expertise with Bangladesh’s large, youthful workforce could create mutually beneficial economic opportunities.

    Expanding Beyond the Garment Sector

    Officials from the embassy also presented Bangladesh’s evolving investment landscape and the country’s efforts to diversify exports beyond the ready-made garment industry.

    Political Counsellor Muhammad Safiul Azam and Commercial Counsellor Morarji Desai Barman outlined investment prospects in sectors such as pharmaceuticals, leather goods, jute-based products, plastics, information technology, and light engineering. They stressed Bangladesh’s strategic geographic location, competitive labor costs, and improving infrastructure as key advantages for international investors.

    The presentations reflected Bangladesh’s broader strategy of reducing dependence on the garment sector, which remains the country’s largest export industry, while promoting higher-value manufacturing and technology-driven industries.

    Bangladesh has invested heavily in developing economic zones and industrial corridors designed to attract foreign manufacturers. Major initiatives include the Japanese Economic Zone in Araihazar and other large-scale industrial projects that have been promoted as gateways for increased Japanese investment.

    Japanese Businesses Share Experience

    The seminar also featured perspectives from Japanese and Bangladesh-based business leaders with firsthand experience operating in the country.

    Tarek Rafi Bhuiyan Jun, president of the Japan-Bangladesh Chamber of Commerce and Industry (JBCCI), shared insights into recent economic developments and discussed practical experiences of doing business in Bangladesh.

    Meanwhile, Shumpei Nakasone, President and CEO of SUN Co., Ltd., highlighted Bangladesh’s growing pool of skilled workers and its potential contribution to Japan’s technology sector. Drawing on his company’s experience, he emphasized opportunities for collaboration in information technology and human resource development.

    His comments reflect a growing trend of Japanese firms exploring Bangladesh as a source of skilled labor at a time when Japan faces demographic challenges and labor shortages across several industries.

    Opportunities and Challenges

    Despite strong interest, investment experts note that Bangladesh still faces challenges in attracting Japanese capital at the scale seen in countries such as Vietnam and Thailand.

    Business leaders and JETRO officials have pointed to bureaucratic procedures, customs delays, regulatory uncertainties, and infrastructure bottlenecks as areas requiring further reform. Addressing these concerns could help Bangladesh attract a significantly larger share of Japanese foreign direct investment.

     

  • Bangladesh-Linked Swiss Bank Funds Jump 41% to Near Record High

    Bangladesh-Linked Swiss Bank Funds Jump 41% to Near Record High

    DHAKA, June 18 — Funds linked to Bangladeshi nationals and institutions in Swiss banks rose sharply in 2025, reaching the second-highest level ever recorded, according to newly released data from the Swiss National Bank (SNB), reigniting debate over financial transparency, capital flight, and the effectiveness of Bangladesh’s efforts to combat illicit financial flows.

    Annual banking statistics published by Switzerland’s central bank on Thursday showed that deposits associated with Bangladeshi clients climbed 41 percent year-on-year to 834.2 million Swiss francs (CHF), equivalent to roughly Tk 12,763 crore. The figure stands just below the record CHF 871.1 million registered in 2021.

    The latest increase marks a significant reversal from the dramatic declines recorded in 2022 and 2023, when Bangladesh-linked funds in Swiss banks fell amid heightened international scrutiny of offshore wealth and greater global efforts to improve financial transparency.

    Data released by the SNB indicate that the overwhelming majority of the increase came from deposits held by Bangladeshi banks rather than individual account holders. Deposits attributed to Bangladeshi banking institutions rose 43 percent to CHF 822.7 million in 2025 from CHF 576.6 million a year earlier.

    As a result, banks accounted for 98.6 percent of all Bangladesh-linked deposits held in Swiss banks during the year, compared with 97.8 percent in 2024. By contrast, funds held through individual customer accounts declined nearly 10 percent, falling from CHF 12.6 million to CHF 11.4 million.

    The composition of the deposits has become increasingly important because Swiss banking statistics do not directly identify the beneficial owners of funds and do not provide evidence of illicit or undeclared wealth. Economists and banking experts have repeatedly cautioned that the annual figures often reflect a combination of interbank transactions, institutional placements, fiduciary deposits, and customer accounts.

    Syed Mahbubur Rahman, managing director of Mutual Trust Bank, said the surge in deposits held by Bangladeshi banks should not automatically be interpreted as evidence of wrongdoing.

    “Banks regularly place funds in different countries and financial institutions depending on where they can earn the best returns,” Rahman said while explaining the latest SNB data.

    He added that movements of institutional funds between jurisdictions are common in international banking.

    “The destination of these funds can vary over time as banks move money between different countries based on investment opportunities and prevailing returns. As a result, a larger amount being held in Switzerland in a particular year does not necessarily indicate anything out of the ordinary,” he said.

    Nevertheless, the sharp rise comes at a politically sensitive moment for Bangladesh, where concerns over capital flight, corruption, weak financial governance, and declining investor confidence have increasingly become subjects of public debate.

    For years, Swiss bank deposits have occupied a prominent place in Bangladesh’s political discourse. Successive governments have faced criticism over their inability to identify and recover undeclared offshore assets allegedly linked to Bangladeshi individuals. Opposition groups, civil society organizations, and anti-corruption advocates have repeatedly demanded stronger measures to trace illicit financial flows and improve accountability.

    The issue has gained additional significance amid continuing economic pressures, including foreign exchange constraints, rising public debt obligations, inflationary pressures, and concerns about the health of the banking sector.

    Although Swiss banks were historically associated with strict client secrecy, Switzerland has substantially transformed its regulatory framework during the past decade under international pressure.

    The country now participates in the Automatic Exchange of Information (AEOI) system, a global framework developed by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) to combat tax evasion and improve transparency in cross-border financial holdings. Through the system, participating jurisdictions automatically exchange information regarding foreign-owned financial accounts.

    According to the Swiss Federal Tax Administration, Switzerland exchanged information on approximately 3.4 million financial accounts with 101 partner jurisdictions in 2025 under the AEOI framework. The information exchanged includes account balances, identifying details, tax identification numbers, and information concerning the financial institutions maintaining the accounts.

    However, Bangladesh remains outside that network.

    The OECD Global Forum on Transparency and Exchange of Information for Tax Purposes reported in its latest update that Bangladesh has not yet committed to implementing the AEOI standard, unlike neighboring India and Pakistan, both of which participate in international information exchanges.

    Transparency advocates argue that the absence of Bangladesh from the global information-sharing framework limits the country’s ability to obtain systematic data about offshore financial assets held by its residents.

    The OECD describes the AEOI system as a mechanism that enables the annual exchange of information concerning offshore financial accounts and related income, helping tax authorities verify whether taxpayers have accurately declared their foreign assets.

    The government’s critics say Bangladesh’s slow progress in joining such international transparency initiatives raises questions about the seriousness of official efforts to detect undeclared offshore wealth and recover illicitly transferred funds.

    Those concerns have become more pronounced following repeated public pledges by authorities to crack down on money laundering and strengthen financial accountability. Despite those promises, analysts note that Bangladesh continues to face significant challenges in recovering assets transferred abroad and in securing information from foreign jurisdictions.

    The latest Swiss data are also notable in a regional context.

    India remained South Asia’s largest source of Swiss bank deposits in 2025, with funds totaling approximately CHF 3.2 billion. However, Indian holdings declined by more than 8 percent during the year. Bangladesh ranked second in the region with CHF 834.2 million and was among the few South Asian countries to record substantial growth.

    Afghanistan recorded the fastest percentage growth, although its total holdings remained comparatively small. Sri Lanka and the Maldives also registered increases, while India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bhutan saw declines.

    The regional comparison is likely to intensify scrutiny within Bangladesh, particularly as authorities seek foreign investment and international financial support while simultaneously confronting persistent concerns about governance and accountability.

    The renewed attention on Swiss bank deposits follows years of fluctuations. Bangladesh-linked funds reached a historic peak of CHF 871.1 million in 2021 before plunging sharply in subsequent years and then rebounding dramatically in 2024 and 2025. Analysts say these swings demonstrate the complexity of interpreting Swiss banking statistics and the importance of distinguishing between institutional banking funds and private wealth.

    Still, the political significance of the figures remains considerable.

    As economic hardship continues to affect many households and the government seeks to reassure citizens about financial governance, the latest surge in Bangladesh-linked Swiss deposits is likely to fuel renewed calls for greater transparency regarding offshore assets, stronger anti-money laundering enforcement, and faster integration into international financial information-sharing systems.

    Whether the increase primarily reflects routine banking operations or deeper structural issues within Bangladesh’s financial system, the new data underscore a reality that policymakers have struggled to address for years: substantial Bangladesh-linked funds continue to be held abroad, while public confidence in financial oversight remains under pressure.

    The challenge for authorities now is not merely explaining the numbers, but demonstrating that the institutions responsible for financial governance possess both the tools and the political will to ensure transparency, accountability, and public trust.

  • Bangladesh Eyes Welfare Cuts, Higher Borrowing

    Bangladesh Eyes Welfare Cuts, Higher Borrowing

    The government is set to reduce spending on public welfare programs in its FY2026-27 budget, to be presented in Parliament today, by scaling back subsidies that have long helped shield households from rising living costs. At the same time, it plans to expand incentives for exporters and remittance earners while relying on increased borrowing and a heavier tax burden to manage a widening fiscal deficit.

    The move comes as the BNP government led by Tarique Rahman struggles to accelerate economic activity and improve revenue collection. Critics argue that the proposed budget shifts the burden of fiscal adjustment onto ordinary citizens while continuing to provide generous support to business-oriented sectors.

    Officials familiar with the budget process say allocations for subsidies will be significantly reduced in the coming fiscal year, even as incentives for exports and remittance inflows are set to increase. The result could be less direct government support for consumers alongside greater benefits for exporters and businesses.

    According to preliminary Finance Ministry estimates, subsidy allocations may fall to Tk 89,538 crore in FY2026-27, down from Tk 95,031 crore in the revised budget for the current fiscal year. Compared with the actual subsidy expenditure of Tk 108,673 crore in FY2024-25, the proposed allocation represents a reduction of nearly Tk 19,000 crore.

    Government officials say the decision is based largely on expectations that global prices of fuel, fertilizer and other commodities will stabilize in the coming months. Policymakers are also considering further adjustments to gas and electricity prices as part of a broader effort to reduce subsidy costs.

    Many economists, however, caution against building budget assumptions around uncertain developments in international markets. They warn that any renewed geopolitical crisis or supply disruption could quickly push energy and fertilizer prices higher again, increasing pressure on both consumers and government finances.

    Export and Remittance Incentives Set to Rise

    While subsidy spending is expected to decline, allocations for export and remittance incentives are likely to increase.

    The government is considering a combined allocation of Tk 16,025 crore for export incentives, jute export support and remittance incentives in FY2026-27. The figure is higher than the Tk 15,225 crore allocated for the same programs in the current fiscal year.

    Officials argue that stronger incentives are needed to support foreign exchange earnings at a time of economic uncertainty. Yet critics question whether reducing support for consumers while increasing benefits for exporters creates an imbalance in budget priorities.

    A Tk 243,000 Crore Deficit

    The proposed national budget is expected to total Tk 938,000 crore, with revenue collection targeted at Tk 695,000 crore.

    That leaves a projected deficit of Tk 243,000 crore.

    To bridge the gap, the government plans to borrow Tk 112,000 crore from the banking sector, Tk 15,000 crore from non-bank sources and Tk 116,000 crore from foreign lenders. It is also expected to spend roughly Tk 46,000 crore on servicing foreign debt during the fiscal year.

    Economists say such heavy dependence on borrowing could create long-term vulnerabilities, particularly when revenue collection remains weak and private-sector investment is already under pressure.

    Private Sector Could Face a Credit Squeeze

    Dr. A.K.M. Waresul Karim, Dean of the School of Business and Economics at North South University, warned that implementing such a large budget would be challenging.

    “Implementing a budget of this size will be difficult for the government,” he told The Voice.

    He said excessive reliance on borrowing sends a troubling signal to investors.

    “When the government borrows heavily from banks, access to credit for businesses declines. That can discourage investment and slow job creation rather than support economic expansion,” he said.

    Karim also stressed the importance of improving revenue collection and controlling expenditures.

    “If the government continues to increase debt without addressing longstanding weaknesses in revenue collection and spending efficiency, it could ultimately harm the economy,” he added.

    Government Borrowing Already Exceeds Target

    The government’s borrowing trend has already raised concerns.

    For FY2025-26, authorities had set a target of borrowing Tk 104,000 crore from the banking system. However, between July and May 10 alone, net borrowing had already reached Tk 109,568 crore, exceeding the annual target before the fiscal year ended.

    Bangladesh Bank data show that outstanding government borrowing from banks rose from Tk 550,905 crore at the start of the fiscal year to Tk 660,473 crore within ten months.

    Revenue Shortfall Reaches Record Levels

    At the same time, revenue collection continues to lag behind expectations.

    According to National Board of Revenue (NBR) figures, the revenue shortfall during the first ten months of the fiscal year reached Tk 104,533 crore.

    Against a target of Tk 431,461 crore, the government collected only Tk 326,928 crore. Revenue growth stood at just 10.6 percent.

    Officials attribute the weak performance to sluggish business activity, lower imports and slower-than-expected economic expansion.

    Private Credit Growth Falls to Historic Low

    Bangladesh Bank’s latest data show private-sector credit growth has fallen to just 4.7 percent, one of the lowest levels in recent history.

    Economists view the decline as a clear sign of weak investment demand.

    They warn that continued government borrowing from banks could make financing even harder to obtain for businesses, potentially slowing investment, industrial expansion and employment generation.

    Finance Minister Points to Middle East Tensions

    Finance Minister Amir Khasru Mahmud Chowdhury says external factors have significantly increased the government’s subsidy burden.

    Responding to a question from Dhaka-18 lawmaker S.M. Jahangir Hossain during a parliamentary session on Tuesday, the minister said instability in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, has pushed up costs in several key sectors.

    “Recent conflicts involving Iran and broader instability in the Middle East have created additional pressure on government subsidy expenditures in the oil, gas, electricity and fertilizer sectors,” he told Parliament.

    According to the minister, the government may require an additional Tk 42,600 crore in subsidies by June 2026 for those four sectors alone.

    The projected additional requirement includes Tk 10,258 crore for fuel, Tk 11,170 crore for gas, Tk 19,821 crore for electricity and nearly Tk 1,350 crore for fertilizer support.

    The finance minister also warned that continued instability in the region poses both immediate and long-term risks to Bangladesh’s economy.

    “The impact is already visible in energy prices, fertilizer costs, import expenses, transportation costs, inflation, foreign exchange management, remittance flows and overseas employment,” he said.

    What Does It Mean for Ordinary Citizens?

    The government argues that reducing subsidies, boosting export and remittance incentives and controlling the budget deficit are necessary steps to maintain economic stability.

    But economists question whether cutting welfare-related spending is the right approach at a time when revenue collection is falling short, private investment remains sluggish and public debt continues to rise.

    They warn that a combination of higher utility prices, new taxes or expanded taxation measures, and reduced subsidies could further increase the cost of living for millions of households.

    As debate over the FY2026-27 budget intensifies, one question is likely to dominate public discussion: how much of the burden of fiscal adjustment will ultimately be carried by ordinary citizens.