January 18, 2025 1:39 am
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Political upheaval: Bangladesh

-Arif Jebtik

Speaking on Al Jazeera, Dr. Yunus hinted that his government could last up to four years. He said, “. . . It (the tenure of the interim government) should be less than four years, that’s for sure. It could be even lower. It all depends on what the people want, what the political parties want.’

Dr. Yunus has left a gap on what the political parties want. That means if the political parties become restless for the election, then he will leave the election earlier.

Four years is a fairly long time. Before the completion of 4 months, the condition of his government’s popularity, if he can not handle it very quickly, it will be difficult for him to survive for another 4 months, then he will have no choice but to protect his dignity as much as possible through elections.

But if they really have a plan to stay for four years, then they will have to hand over all the parties except BNP. It won’t be too hard. Jamaat wants to form an Islamic alliance and Jamaat is at the best time in its history to try to form the government on its own, so their efforts cannot be blamed. Jamaat will want to get time to organize this alliance. In the meantime, the Amir’s statement has understood that they are not in a hurry with the election.

All that remained were small but vocal groups. Noor’s party, Zonayed Saki’s party and Manju’s party – these three are big stakeholders here. Besides, Manna’s party is also in a little discussion because of Dr. Jahed. So, these 4 parties will not want to bring the election forward. Because if they go to the election, there will be a tension over the collateral, but they will be able to enjoy this time until the election. They were also able to get some posts with a mild threat.

Four years is enough time to organize the two political parties planned by the anti-discrimination group. In the meantime, they can form a new party, fight with that party, divide it in two and get ready for the election.

No matter what Awami League says, no matter how much it wants elections within three months, they will not be encouraged to hold elections in a few years. All the corrupt people of the party have completely drowned. They will not be able to benefit in the elections only by relying on hungry workers. Besides, if the election is held after 4 years at the time of the attack on this case, then the Awami League will have a chance to settle down a bit. However, there is a strong fear that the Yunus government will ban the Awami League in four years and in the meantime.

Well, then it is seen that only BNP is looking at the election like a chirping bird. Because BNP has no doubt that they will go to the government only after the election. But if everyone does not want, the present government will not pay heed to the BNP’s demand alone. Especially, if Jamaat’s muscle power is behind the government, BNP alone will not be able to do much on the streets. And to be honest, the fact that the public of the country is not so much concerned about the election has also been proved after the last few elections.

Here, however, the BNP has made a smart move. They have instructed the local units of BNP in the areas of those leaders to help Nur and Rashed of Noor’s party and Rab of JSD. It is understood that BNP is interested in taking them into the alliance. BNP can widen this net. If they give up at least 15 seats like ‘big leaders of small parties’ now, then the situation will turn around.

BNP will not have to do anything; the big leaders of these small parties will heat up the market by threatening and shouting every day demanding a quick election.

Let’s see who can make this chess move first.

Arif Jebtik, Human rights Activist, Bangladesh

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