November 24, 2024 3:27 am
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Final stage of the US Presidential Poll

Both leading candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, are campaigning intensively in swing states, vying to win over undecided voters. Election workers are also busy reaching out to ensure their supporters turn out to vote. Polling agencies are conducting last-minute surveys to gauge voter sentiments.

Election analysts are trying to uncover hidden factors influencing the election, including gender bias, as many conservative Democrat men might be reluctant to vote for Kamala. Some Republican voters, frustrated by Trump’s behavior, might be leaning against him internally. Former Vice President Dick Cheney, architect of the Iraq War, has openly endorsed Kamala Harris. Major news outlets like CNN, USA Today, CBS, and The Washington Post are covering these developments.

Local media reports indicate this election cycle has seen an increase in bizarre and divisive rhetoric. Trump has become notably more aggressive, particularly by focusing on immigration, aiming to rally citizens against undocumented immigrants, especially from Latin America. He claims they are contributing to crime and taking jobs from Americans by working for lower wages, a stance that has energized many of his supporters.

In Springfield, Ohio, where a group of hardworking Haitian immigrants reside, Trump recently claimed that these immigrants have eaten up all the local pets. The Republican mayor of Springfield has dismissed this as false.

Arab and Muslim voters are divided, mainly due to U.S. support for Israel. The recent conflict in Gaza, where thousands of Palestinians were killed, has deeply angered many American Muslims and Arabs, some of whom are Christians from Lebanon and Palestine. The influence of this voting bloc is significant in Michigan, which has 15 electoral votes. Polls suggest that either candidate could win in Michigan, which might determine the overall result of the election. The Arab and Muslim voters are split into three groups: 1) those who view Kamala as a safer choice and believe she might show more compassion toward Palestinians; 2) those who think Trump’s non-interventionist approach could lead to peace; and 3) those who are disillusioned with both candidates and may vote for a third-party candidate or abstain. The first group appears to be the largest, but without the Arab-Muslim vote, Kamala may struggle to win Michigan—and without Michigan, her path to the presidency is challenging.

World leaders are closely watching the U.S. election with a mix of hope and concern. If Trump wins, some countries will benefit, while others may face difficulties. Trump has had a long-standing friendship with Russian President Vladimir Putin; in his previous term, Trump allegedly sent COVID vaccines to Russia without notifying Congress, while Biden has supported Ukraine with military aid against Russia. If Trump wins, it’s expected Putin would be pleased.

European countries, however, are wary of Trump, given his threats to dismantle NATO and demand more financial contributions from member nations. European leaders generally favor Kamala Harris, although Hungary’s authoritarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is a strong Trump supporter.

Both Biden and Kamala have consistently supported Israel, but Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has voiced support for Trump, his longtime ally and a staunch opponent of Palestine.

In reality, the election outcome hinges on just seven key battleground states. Polls show that in these states, both candidates are nearly tied, with minor leads shifting between them.

Renowned American statistician Nate Silver commented that the current data suggests an even 50-50 chance for both candidates. However, his intuition suggests a Trump victory, as Trump has many rural supporters who are difficult to reach through surveys and often remain uncounted in polling. However, Kamala may have her own hidden voters. Ultimately, the final results will reveal who has the last laugh, and the world will have to wait until then.

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