As Syria navigates its post-Assad reality, old threats are resurfacing. Kurdish forces, pivotal in defeating the so-called Islamic State (IS) in 2019, now warn of its imminent resurgence.
According to General Mazloum Abdi, commander of the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), IS activity has significantly increased. “The danger of a resurgence has doubled,” he states, emphasizing that IS now has more resources and opportunities. Intelligence reports suggest that IS militants have seized weapons left behind by Syrian regime troops.
Prisons at Risk
General Abdi warns of a “real threat” as IS could target SDF-run detention facilities in northeastern Syria, holding around 10,000 IS fighters and 50,000 family members. “We fought hard against IS, losing 12,000 lives,” he says. “But we may need to resume those battles.”
Turkey’s Role in Diverting SDF Resources
Turkey’s ongoing attacks on the SDF are exacerbating the situation. Ankara considers the SDF an extension of the PKK, a Kurdish separatist group deemed a terrorist organization by Turkey, the US, and the EU. Turkey’s airstrikes and push for a 30-kilometer buffer zone in Kurdish-controlled regions have forced the SDF to divert resources, including counterterrorism operations and prison security, weakening their capacity to combat IS.
Inside IS Prisons
In Al-Sina, the largest prison for IS detainees, about 5,000 suspected fighters and supporters are held. Security is stringent, with multiple layers of gates and masked guards patrolling the facility. While some detainees appear resigned, others remain ideologically committed.
Among them is a 28-year-old Australian detainee who claims to have been in Syria for humanitarian work. When questioned about his involvement with IS or support for its actions, he offered vague responses, expressing hope of returning to Australia.
Roj Camp: IS Families Await Freedom
Roj camp, housing nearly 3,000 women and children affiliated with IS, presents another challenge. Although untried and unconvicted, they remain deeply tied to the group. Some women, like Saida Temirbulatova from Dagestan, hope for repatriation, while others believe IS will rescue them.
Camp authorities report growing tension and organization among the detainees. “They’re preparing for freedom and promise a comeback as IS,” the camp manager warns. Even children show signs of radicalization, chanting slogans and mimicking IS gestures.
A Renewed Threat
As Syria grapples with political and military turmoil, the danger of an IS resurgence looms large. Kurdish forces face an uphill battle to maintain security amid growing challenges from IS and external pressures from Turkey. The fragile balance in northeastern Syria underscores the enduring instability of the region.