Germany is set to hold its 21st parliamentary election today, just three and a half months after the collapse of the coalition government. The election is attracting global attention, especially in Europe, as it is expected to restore political stability following prolonged political instability and economic crisis. However, there are growing concerns about the rise of the far-right party, Alternative for Germany (AfD).
The collapse of the previous coalition government occurred due to budgetary issues and economic tensions, which led to the removal of Germany’s finance minister. This election is crucial as it will determine the formation of a new government in Europe’s largest economy, potentially restoring political stability. There are concerns that the AfD’s popularity could significantly increase, with reports suggesting that if the party receives more than 20% of the vote, it could gain around 150 seats in the 630-seat parliament. This would make the AfD an important player in the government, potentially influencing national policies.
Despite most mainstream parties ruling out a coalition with the AfD, analysts believe it will be difficult for any single party to secure a majority, which could increase the AfD’s influence in the formation of the new government. Conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is currently leading in polls, with their candidate Friedrich Merz stating that Germany will take the lead in Europe if they come to power. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) of outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz is expected to come second, with a possible coalition between the CDU and SPD.
The outcome of this election is not only important for Germany’s future but also for the entire European Union. The policies on immigration, economy, and security that will be adopted could have a significant impact on the EU. Additionally, the future of war-torn Ukraine is tied to the election, as Germany’s stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict is critical to the EU’s position. The AfD’s opposition to military support for Ukraine contrasts with the EU’s stance, making the election’s outcome even more significant for the broader European context.