May 21, 2025 11:11 pm
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Britain’s Trade Gamble: Balancing the US, EU and China in a Shifting Global Order

The Voice News: LONDON, May 20 (Reuters) – The UK is navigating a risky balancing act as it secures trade deals with the US, EU, and India, while also seeking improved ties with China. This approach highlights Britain’s attempt to remain economically relevant in a fragmented, unpredictable global landscape shaped by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff-driven policies.

Since Brexit, Britain has clinched multiple trade agreements, including a free trade pact with India, tariff relief from Washington, and renewed cooperation with the EU in areas like defense, energy, and agriculture. But this multi-directional strategy poses challenges, especially given the geopolitical tensions among the three economic giants that dominate Britain’s trade.

Experts warn that while these deals show ambition, they offer limited short-term gains and carry long-term risks. Former UK trade ministry official Martin Donnelly cautions that the UK could be left out by the major trade blocs if it miscalculates.

Britain appears to have accepted a subordinate role within the U.S. economic and security sphere, aligning with Washington on sensitive sectors like steel and AI, which could distance it from China. However, it has resisted U.S. pressure on food market access to maintain regulatory alignment with Brussels—helped by the EU’s own interest in stronger military ties.

At the same time, the UK is courting Chinese investment and market access while trying not to provoke U.S. concerns over tech and security. According to Marco Forgione of the Chartered Institute of Export, British exporters are adapting by restructuring supply chains and segmenting high-risk sectors.

One unnamed trade official said Britain had won concessions from Trump not offered to the EU, while simultaneously accepting a satellite-like position unacceptable to Brussels. The UK’s challenge, the official added, is keeping all sides engaged without appearing opportunistic.

Post-Brexit Reality Check

Following years of difficult Brexit negotiations, Britain became an independent trading nation in 2020, aiming to expand ties with fast-growing economies. But the economic benefits have fallen short. The UK’s budget watchdog estimates Brexit will shrink its potential productivity by 4% over 15 years.

Burdened by £2.8 trillion in debt and stagnant growth, Britain is pushing for trade-driven revival. Business leader Paul Drechsler emphasized the importance of recent deals in restoring global trust and stimulating commerce.

Although the UK secured tariff reductions from the U.S. on certain goods, it still faces a 10% baseline levy. Critics say this undermines multilateral unity, particularly with the EU and Japan.

Meanwhile, efforts to thaw relations with China face hurdles, especially as U.S.-UK trade clauses give Washington influence over British steel—a red flag for Beijing. A Chinese embassy spokesperson warned that trade deals should not target third countries and that China is ready to respond if necessary.

Janka Oertel from the European Council on Foreign Relations noted the UK’s precarious position, saying, “Britain has made itself the test case—and it’s not a comfortable place to be.”

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