US officials have expressed cautious optimism about a potential ceasefire and hostages release deal in the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. This marks a significant shift within the Biden administration, which has not shown this level of hope in months, according to sources familiar with the matter.
While no agreement has been finalized, sources indicate a deal could be announced within the final days of President Joe Biden’s term. Both Israel and Hamas, along with mediators, are reportedly working on the final stages of the negotiations. A Hamas official confirmed discussions on a final draft, with mediators being updated on both sides’ positions.
Signs of Progress in Talks
US Deputy National Security Adviser Jon Finer noted “significant progress” but refrained from making definitive predictions. “There is a deal on the table that Hamas should accept,” he said. A Hamas official also stated that an agreement is “very close.”
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar echoed this sentiment, emphasizing Israel’s commitment to securing a deal. He highlighted ongoing negotiations in Doha, Qatar, and reported “progress” in the discussions.
However, challenges remain. Hamas has demanded Israel withdraw from the Philadelphi corridor along the Egypt-Gaza border and commit to a permanent ceasefire rather than a temporary one. Disagreements also persist over the size of a buffer zone along Gaza’s borders. Hamas seeks a return to pre-October 7 conditions, while Israel advocates for a significantly larger zone.
Hostages and Prisoners
Negotiators are addressing the release of Palestinian prisoners and mapping areas for Israeli withdrawal. Qadura Fares, a Palestinian official, has traveled to Doha to provide advice on the prisoner release list.
Despite the progress, Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich criticized the potential deal, labeling it a “surrender” that compromises national security. Ten members of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party also expressed concerns, urging Netanyahu to adhere to specific conditions, including the complete return of hostages and preventing mass displacement to northern Gaza.
Broader Political Implications
The negotiations are influenced by US domestic politics. Sources suggest Netanyahu is motivated to maintain alignment with President-elect Donald Trump’s administration, which takes office on January 20. US envoys Brett McGurk and Steve Witkoff, along with National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, are actively involved in resolving the remaining issues.
Sullivan expressed cautious optimism, stating that a deal could be finalized this week. “I’m not making a promise or prediction, but it is there for the taking,” he said.
Humanitarian Toll in Gaza
Since the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, Gaza has experienced extensive casualties. According to the Palestinian Ministry of Health, Israeli strikes have killed over 46,000 people and injured more than 109,000. Many victims remain trapped under rubble, with rescue efforts hindered by ongoing hostilities. A UK study suggests the actual death toll may be even higher.
Amid relentless bombing, Gaza residents voiced skepticism over the negotiations. Abdul Rahman Salama, whose home was destroyed, called the talks “empty promises.”
As the international community watches, the outcome of these negotiations could mark a turning point in the long-standing conflict, offering hope for a resolution amid immense human suffering.