The recent high-level peace talks in Istanbul between Russia and Ukraine—first since early in the 2022 war—show that the two sides remain far apart, even as they agreed to continue negotiations and swap a thousand prisoners of war.
According to Turkey’s foreign minister, both countries expressed willingness to hold more talks, giving hope for a diplomatic path forward—something U.S. President Donald Trump is strongly pushing for. Trump has said he believes he can personally negotiate a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Peter Slezkine of the Stimson Center called the renewed communication a “hopeful sign,” saying direct contact is a key step in any peace process.
Stark Differences Remain
While Ukraine and Western allies are calling for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire, Russia continues to demand that Ukraine withdraw from regions Moscow claims and recognize them as Russian territory. These demands are seen as extreme and unrealistic by Ukrainian diplomats, who describe them as “nonstarters.”
Russia’s chief negotiator, Vladimir Medinsky, defended the hardline position and hinted the war could go on for as long as necessary to achieve Russia’s goals.
Peace Proposals and Fresh Demands
Earlier peace proposals from the U.S. and counterproposals by Europe and Ukraine offered some potential paths forward. However, Russia’s latest demands in Istanbul—such as Ukraine dropping reparation claims, accepting Russian control over five territories, and becoming a neutral state—went well beyond any previous proposals.
A Ukrainian official described the talks as expected: tough at the beginning, with exaggerated demands common in early negotiations. “This is the beginning of the journey,” the source said.
Trump’s Role and European Sanctions
Trump’s involvement may shift the direction of the talks. Just before the Istanbul meeting, he said he needed to speak with Putin directly to make progress. This put a pause on European plans to increase sanctions against Russia, which they had threatened if Moscow rejected a ceasefire.
Recently, four European leaders visited Kyiv and warned of tougher sanctions, with U.S. backing. But after Putin suggested talks instead of a ceasefire, Trump advised Ukraine to accept without pushing for more sanctions.
Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy is trying to keep Trump engaged and has proposed direct talks with Putin. The Russian leader responded only by sending a low-level delegation, prompting criticism from analysts who see it as a sign Moscow isn’t serious about making concessions.
Despite the slow progress, Ukraine’s leadership is still calling for a face-to-face meeting between Zelenskiy and Putin, believing only Putin can make the major decisions needed for peace.
Trump told Fox News he still believes he can reach a deal with Putin, but warned he would impose sanctions if progress isn’t made.